Trick or Treat? Halloween looking to bring coolest air of the season


November is right around the corner and now is the time people are starting to wonder — what will the weather will be for Halloween this year?

You have probably seen the initial forecasts in the extended 10 day and it's looking more and more likely that areas of Ohio will see it's coolest air of the season.

So, how cool? Well, models have been hinting at temperatures in the 40's for daytime highs and the 20's for nighttime lows.

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GFS Temperature Model
EUROPEAN Temperature Model

These two models both bring in much cooler air next week — both likely supporting the coolest air of the season. The problem is timing.

The GFS model is bringing the cool air in sooner than the European. Both look to support much cooler conditions though going into the night of Halloween.

GFS Jet Stream

The GFS shows a cold pool of air over much of the Great Lakes the day before Halloween.

European Jet Stream

The European model is still thinking that we'll have mild and mainly dry conditions on that same day.

This is, however, is not surprising to see weather models disagree this far out into the future. They do agree on bringing in much cooler air and it looks like the first couple days of November will be rather chilly.

Now, with that being said, the next question you might be wondering is if it will be cold enough for snow?

This again is another tough question to answer, because the timing of this system next week can easily change the trajectory of this cold air and moisture associated with it. Is it possible? Yes, it is.

Some areas over the Great Lakes region will see their first snowflakes of the season around Halloween into next weekend. If the GFS model holds up and brings in that cold air sooner and it lingers, there's a chance we could see some flurry action across the state around Halloween, but that is a question for another day.

Actually, it will likely take several days to pinpoint that as models will need to come into agreement with the strength of this cold air and when/where this system brings the most moisture.

In the meantime, if you haven't thought about what you're going to be for Halloween, I'd suggest something that might be on the warm side. Just saying.

Stay tuned for more details and if you ever have any weather related questions, please message Jeff Booth or I on our Facebook pages at Jeff Booth 10TV and Ross Caruso TV.